Strong Purchase Demand Drives Solid Week For Mortgage Applications

Mortgage applications surged last week, posting a strong rebound as declining rates and improving market sentiment drove broad-based gains. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 7.9% increase on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending April 17. Both refinance and purchase activity contributed to the increase, with the Refinance Index rising 6% from the previous week and standing 52% higher than one year ago. Purchase applications showed even stronger momentum, climbing 10% week over week and up 14% on an annual basis — a notable shift after recent softness. The improvement comes as mortgage rates moved lower, with the average 30-year fixed rate declining to 6.35% . The drop was driven in part by easing geopolitical tensions and lower oil prices, which helped stabilize financial markets and restore some borrower confidence. MBA’s Mike Fratantoni said, ” Mortgage rates declined last week as financial markets responded positively to the Middle East ceasefire and the lower trend in oil prices… purchase application volume increased an even stronger 10 percent and was up 14 percent compared to last year’s pace. Despite the geopolitical uncertainty, housing demand is being supported by a still resilient job market, and homebuyers are experiencing a buyer’s market in most of the country… ” Application composition shifted slightly away from refinancing, with refinance share decreasing to 44.2% from 45.5% the prior week. ARM share also declined to 8.0% . FHA share held steady at 18.2% , while VA share decreased to 15.0% and USDA share remained unchanged at 0.5% .

Retention, HELOC, Digitization, Secondary Platform, CRA Products; Lottery Psychology; FHA Delinquencies

Lender and Broker Products and Services Two established names in mortgage verification. One national CRA built to serve how lenders actually operate. Advantage Partners Solutions brings together the experience of Advantage Credit and Partners Credit and Verification Solutions into a single, unified partnership. Here’s how it works: clients access credit reporting through Credit Interlink, our in-house platform, or MeridianLink Mortgage Credit Link. You pick whichever fits your LOS and your team keeps moving. We support both with the same people and with the same level of service. Our platform aligns with your workflow & our partnership with you stays consistent. APS is a model built with intention, backed by experience, and delivered by a team that deeply understands the pace of mortgage operations. If you are evaluating your credit reporting partner, take a closer look at how this structure supports your team and long-term growth. Get to know APS. Start the conversation today. Black Lake Digital Markets: Institutional Rails for Mortgage Capital Markets! Black Lake Services is now Black Lake Digital Markets. Black Lake Digital Markets provides an end-to-end origination and secondary market platform covering pricing, trading, rate sheet and guideline management, TPR staging, settlement, and transfer in a single stack. Built across the full asset spectrum: Non-QM, Jumbo, HEI, MSR, whole loans, and Fannie, Freddie, and Ginnie Mae production. If your secondary desk is currently managing 14 investor guidelines in PDF, rate sheets in Excel, and single-loan transfers over email, you are not alone… You are the industry. We built Black Lake Digital Markets to fix it. The platform offers Correspondent-in-a-Box™ (pricing, trading, QC, settlement, and transfer), Guideline Shredder™ (machine-readable non-agency guidelines for delivery certainty before the lock), RuleStudio™(investor-ready guideline and rate sheet customization), and Shocktimization Non-QM™ (best-efforts and mandatory forward optimization and hedging purpose-built for non-agency). Learn more about the platform at blacklakedigital.com or contact info@blacklakeinvestments.com.

Volatility Picked Up Despite Lackluster News Quality

Volatility Picked Up Despite Lackluster News Quality

It’s not exactly a new problem, but the issue of incorrect or misconstrued headlines is growing larger as the Iran war persists. It makes sense considering the current lull in both military and diplomatic developments. People who write and profit from breaking newswires are eager to cash in on clicks and dollars. Around 1pm ET today, several newswires created obvious volatility for bonds/oil/stocks. These involved an apparent resignation of a key Iranian official from the negotiations team and the implication that Tehran’s activated air defenses meant a breach of the ceasefire. Both were refuted. Markets corrected slightly, but a certain amount of damage was done (also, markets may not believe the refutations). The net impact on bonds remained small with 10s only up a few bps and MBS down just over an eighth of a point.

Econ Data / Events

Continued Claims (Apr)/11

1,821K vs 1820K f’cast, 1818K prev

Jobless Claims (Apr)/18

214K vs 212K f’cast, 207K prev

Market Movement Recap

08:34 AM A hair stronger after being flat overnight. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr yields are up nearly 1bp at 4.295

11:54 AM MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down half a bp at 4.298

01:43 PM Weakest levels. MBS down nearly a quarter point and 10yr up 4.5bps at 4.349

02:31 PM Bouncing back a bit as previous headlines have been mostly retracted. MBS still down an eighth and 10yr up 1bp at 4.313

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady For Most Lenders

Thursday saw a continuation of the recent trend of very low volatility for mortgage rates. The average lender’s top-tier 30yr fixed rates were perfectly unchanged from yesterday and in the same narrow range as the past 7 business days (6.29-6.33%).  Despite the uneventful outcome, there was some underlying market volatility mid-day following a series of war-related headlines. The news involved the status of Iran’s negotiation team as well as potential indications of air strikes in Iran. The market reacted swiftly (a resumption of hostilities would push rates/oil higher and stocks lower), but several of the headlines were subsequently retracted/clarified and the overall market reaction ended up being relatively small. A handful of mortgage lenders responded to the market movement and increased rates. Bonds (which dictate rates) remain a bit worse off compared to this morning, so if there’s not a bond market rebound by tomorrow morning, other lenders could make similar adjustments.

Specialty AI, Pooling, Correspondent Products; Lender Responsibility Opinion; Webcast Shows Incoming

After over 40 years in this industry and capital markets, I’ve learned that the best conversations are… with people. For example, a flyer could have been sent out yesterday instead of having a press conference to cover the VantageScore & FICO 10T news, but they chose to talk about it rather than tweet it. People! Next month, we’re putting some of them on camera regularly. Four new shows are coming to the Chrisman network, covering the biggest topics in mortgage right now with the Capital Markets Wrap moving to Wednesdays. Registration is open for these live, monthly, and free shows: The AI Show (a monthly panel on AI in mortgage… What’s working, what’s coming, and what you need to know, first episode May 6 sponsored by JazzXai), Credit Committee (bureau leaders, credit strategists, and data experts on camera together talking about what’s changing in credit, first episode May 20 and sponsored by Equifax), Recapture Wars (the recapture fight in mortgage servicing… Who’s winning, who’s losing, and what the smartest shops are doing differently, first episode May 27), and The Hill: A Marketing Show (starting Tuesday, May 12, one thesis per episode about mortgage marketing, one guest in the room to prove it or fight it, one hill worth dying on… the first editorial podcast in mortgage, hosted by Bri Lees). (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s ‘casts are sponsored by Experian Verify, a comprehensive income and employment verification solution for mortgage lenders. By uniting instant payroll data, permissioned access, and research verification in one seamless experience, Experian Verify helps lenders reduce friction, accelerate decisions, and confidently verify every U.S. worker. Today’s has an interview with Paddington Capital Management’s Paul Musson on how policymakers are repeatedly propping up asset prices at the expense of long-term economic health and fairness.)